Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 26.024799 28.545998 31.315072 34.602694 38.426683 42.768017 48.118362
2025-07-27 22.093132 25.457291 29.441604 34.588367 41.183342 49.531104 61.209695
2025-08-03 19.318004 23.065453 27.757851 34.228118 43.200247 55.680602 75.338475
2025-08-10 17.306208 21.232121 26.365342 33.825689 44.881276 61.601818 91.081544
2025-08-17 15.908993 19.964624 25.465032 33.833903 47.003636 68.566749 111.193037
2025-08-24 14.685581 18.763857 24.460226 33.461380 48.370461 74.569278 132.315188
2025-08-31 13.684426 17.753936 23.583500 33.105780 49.623685 80.639974 156.867764
2025-09-07 12.841216 16.881780 22.798992 32.753945 50.766078 86.781399 185.582063
2025-09-14 12.146914 16.161607 22.160645 32.533927 52.071460 93.634506 221.654139
2025-09-21 11.478587 15.424422 21.420299 32.031163 52.720498 99.237161 259.237939
2025-09-28 11.277737 15.373897 21.752776 33.437400 57.456584 116.422043 362.030242
2025-10-05 10.782471 14.829676 21.229196 33.209979 58.696214 125.094794 444.057905
2025-10-12 10.357937 14.377609 20.835717 33.208529 60.521378 136.577985 571.862980
2025-10-19 10.050052 14.091324 20.698954 33.688516 63.600323 153.760032 806.077164
2025-10-26 9.667150 13.658889 20.273930 33.541237 65.136191 166.827819 1084.997495
2025-11-02 9.291855 13.216398 19.796869 33.230203 66.200564 179.007152 1467.556561
2025-11-09 8.998287 12.891896 19.504766 33.270419 68.223066 196.663146 2220.688753
2025-11-16 8.672838 12.495954 19.054598 32.919809 69.100203 210.222624 3280.156675
2025-11-23 8.372591 12.127219 18.629375 32.577747 69.944412 224.607708 5200.230631
2025-11-30 8.093544 11.780979 18.223441 32.236171 70.733472 239.740755 9152.707625
2025-12-07 7.849261 11.482877 17.888860 32.022071 71.886806 258.413224 20934.484000
2025-12-14 7.587047 11.142047 17.453072 31.531220 72.070432 271.818530 56381.972884
2025-12-21 7.558048 11.205726 17.794124 32.904976 78.794835 338.997798 NaN